Projecting the Mariners 2027 Top 10
Let's look ahead from a rankings point of view...
Including reasonable expectations with graduations in 2026, this is what the 2027 Top 10 might look like, including a raw projection of the club’s 2026 MLB Draft picks.
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1. Ryan Sloan, RHP
Sloan has a plus fastball up to 98, a developing split-change, and a slider that projects to miss bats consistently. He’s a future potential frontline arm, up to and including true No. 1 ace status, and despite being a prep pick in 2024, could see the majors in 2027.
2. Luke Stevenson, C
He can catch, hit for power, and throw, and while his floor as a No. 2 catcher with strong-side platoon value increases the intrigue, his ETA and upside make him a legit Top 100 candidate by 2027.
3. Felnin Celesten, SS
Celesten is looking for a bit of a rebound, despite not really struggling in 2025. The tools still significantly outweigh the production, but we’re still talking about a chance at an above-average shortstop glove with .270/.350/.440 slash, which is a 5-win player any year.
4. Jonny Farmelo, CF
Farmelo has power, speed, a chance to stay in center, and he’s proven adept and drawing walks, perhaps mitigating some of the swing-and-miss in his game. His swing still needs work, but he’s come a long way in a short period of time and simply needs to stay in the lineup.
5. Lazaro Montes, RF
Montes’ 70 raw power could go to waste if he can’t hold onto at least a 40-grade hit tool. There’s a lot of risk here, but on the upside, he’s Kyle Schwarber or Adam Dunn.
6. Michael Arroyo, LF
Arroyo is closing in on the majors, but despite a lack of upside, holds his status here as he looks to transition successfully to left field. It’s average power with above-average hit and on-base skills to go with a proximity edge that could get him into the Top 3.
7. Trevor Condon, CF —Etowah HS (Ga.) / Pick 24 in 2026 MLB Draft
This is a wild guess at this stage, but Condon represents the range of talent Seattle will likely have a shot at when they select No. 24 in July. Condon is a long-term center fielder with a classic left-handed swing that includes some quirky pre-pitch activity. He’s a 70 runner with plenty of quick-twitch actions to suggest premium defense and high stolen base numbers. It’s good bat speed, and while he’s unlikely to develop more than average power, that was also said about Corbin Carroll who has 88 homers over the last three seasons. Condon is 5-foot-11, 175 pounds, even a tick taller and bigger than Carroll.
There are a numbers of arms that could make sense at 24 — prep and college both — and a few infielders, including the older brother of the club’s second-round pick a year ago, who is No. 9 here. Eric Becker could go in the Top 10-15, but there are numerous upside plays that could end up pushing the likes of Becker down to Seattle.
Among the high school pitchers that could land in this range are Logan Schmidt, a projectable southpaw with a chance at three above-average pitches with velocity upside, and right-hander Coleman Borthwick, a 6-foot-6, 255-pound beast who has pushed the upper 90s and already misses bats with a mid-80s slider.
Other than Becker, some of the college bats that could land here include Mississippi State’s Ace Reese, a lefty bat with plus power and solid traits, though the majority of scouts believe he’s more of a right fielder or first baseman than an option to stick at third. Texas A&M’s Gavin Grahovac comes is the right-handed version of Reese.
Among the college arms that could end up the pick here is Gabe Gaeckle, an athletic but somewhat undersized right-hander with a four-pitch mix, including a fastball up to 98 mph and two breaking balls that project as plus pitches. His teammate, lefty Hunter Dietz, is another arm to keep an eye on at 24. Dietz is 6-foot-6 and 235 pounds, and already hitting 98 and showing two useful breakers.
8. Trey Beard, LHP — Florida Atlantic / Pick 65 in 2026 Draft
Beard is essentially discount Kade Anderson, standing 6-foot-2 and 185 pounds and commanding four pitches. He’s up to 95 but comfortably 92-93 mph to start 2026, both breaking balls project to the big leagues, and his changeup is already a big-league quality pitch.
Beard throws strikes and figures to move quickly, potentially making him an ideal second-round pick, particularly if Seattle goes bat or prep arm in Round 1.
9. Nick Becker, SS
Becker has some swing fixes to make -- different, but not unlike Farmelo in Year 1 -- but he’s another plus athlete with the arm and athleticism to play anywhere on the field and looks the part of a long-term shortstop. He has the bat speed to hit 20 homers, but needs to work on his load and trigger while probably reverting back to his approach prior to his senior year.
10. Yorger Bautista, CF
Tools, tools, and more tools. Bautista is as tooled up as any Mariners prospect, and needs to improve upon his 2025, which came and went with merely mixed results. Improving his contact rate is the first thing that stands out, as it allows his loudest tool (power) to go to work.
